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Vancouver was once one of the hottest property markets in the world. For now, however, the hottest real estate market in Canada is Toronto. The latest figures show that the average house price in Toronto rose by the largest monthly rate in March this year since February 1989.
According to statistics, Canadian real estate absorbed about $93 billion of investment from China from 2010 to 2015, according to Accordson Consulting. Vancouver absorbed 72 per cent of all plus property investment in the first quarter of last year, according to CBRE.
After 2008, residential real estate investment as a share of GDP in the United States continued to rise, as did Canada. Today, residential real estate investment in Canada accounts for 7.7 per cent of GDP.
In Canada’s best provinces, including British Columbia and Ontario, 40% of economic growth comes from real estate and related financing.
The hottest is the Vancouver real estate market. UBS Bank of Switzerland, a world-famous bank, pointed out that prices in the Vancouver real estate market have been inflated since 2007.
In January 2016, the average home price in the Greater Vancouver area reached C $1.04 million. Because the market is overheated, Vancouver has to step in and impose a 15% real estate transfer tax on foreign citizens who buy houses. From mid-2016, Vancouver house prices began to go down.
However, after a lapse of nine months, house prices in Vancouver will “soar” again.
In April, average home prices in greater Vancouver, Canada’s most expensive real estate market, rose 11.4% year-on-year to C $941100, according to the Greater Vancouver Real Estate Bureau.
By category, apartment prices in this area rose the fastest, rising 16.6% from a year earlier, while jumping 3.1% from a month earlier to C $554100; the average price of a multi-family house rose 15.3% from a year earlier, up 2.4% from a month earlier to C $701800; the average price of detached houses rose 8.1% year-on-year, 1.8% from a month earlier to C $1516500.
So far, single-family home prices are close to last year’s highs, with joint house and apartment prices hitting record highs.
In other words, 15% of foreign property taxes only curb the pace of property transfers. As sellers wait for more aggressive buyers to emerge, there is already a new wave of buyers who don’t care about the 15% property tax.
Jill Oudil, chairman of the Greater Vancouver Real Estate Bureau, said in a report that in the apartment and urban housing markets, demand has been growing for several months in a row, but supply has failed to keep pace with demand. “this imbalance is stimulating prices.”
Right now, Toronto is catching up with Vancouver, and the housing bubble is inflating.
House prices in the Greater Toronto area have experienced double-digit growth for two consecutive years, according to official figures. Average house prices in Toronto rose 33.2 per cent in March from a year earlier to C $916567, the biggest monthly increase since February 1989 and 4.6 per cent higher than in February.
Led by the property market in Greater Toronto and surrounding areas, national housing sales in Canada hit an all-time high in March, while average prices rose 8.2% from a year earlier, according to data released by the Canadian Real Estate Association.
In the face of rapidly rising house prices in the Greater Toronto area, the Ontario government announced a series of measures to cool the property market in April. Ontario’s new policy plays a guiding role in housing prices in the province.
Diana Peng, a broker and real estate investor at lovehomerealty Real Estate Brokerage of Canada, told the International Finance News that the real estate bureau’s bulletin data at the end of April showed that sales prices in Ontario increased by 24.% compared with the same period last year, while sales decreased by 3.2%. “the new policy was implemented on April 20, taking into account conditional sales factors based on the monthly growth of 3% in the past. Home prices are expected to fall by about 6.1% after April 20 compared with the same period last month.
From a regional perspective, the worst-hit areas are New Market, Aurora and Vaughan, with home prices falling by about 10 per cent after April 20. Those who are more resistant to the fall are mainly KingCity in the north, Burlington in the west, Caledon and other investment in unpopular areas.
According to Diana Peng, there are three reasons for the recent decline in house prices: after the introduction of the new policy, many sellers have a hard demand to change their homes and must sell, thus causing wait-and-see investors to drive down prices; second, May and June are periods of concentrated trading in the Ontario property market, and the increase in listed volume leads to lower prices; third, the loan policy is tightened.